Saturday, June 20, 2020

Leaving a Legacy

As Father’s Day approaches, I’ve been thinking about my dad, the life he led, the choices he made, and the legacy he left behind.

I’m not talking about money. In fact, I didn’t learn anything about finance from my dad—he avoided big purchases with the fervor of Ebenezer Scrooge, though he’d spend that much (and more) on small things (mostly books). Like many in his generation, my dad wanted to hold the checkbook, but it was Mom who always made sure that there was money in the account. Dad tithed “biblically,” but Mom was the one who started setting aside money from her paycheck in her 403(b) plan at work—and continued to do so, even when my father was convinced they couldn’t afford it—and made no secret of that opinion. Or did until he got a glimpse of the statement that showed Mom’s retirement account growth—and then, inspired by that example—he began setting money aside for retirement as well.

My dad was a man of few words—spoken words, anyway. At 6’ 5” he was an imposing figure, all the more from the pulpit from which he did speak. He was a good speaker, but not a natural one. He worked hard at it, studied his subject matter, practiced his presentation relentlessly, each and every week. I always thought it amazing that such a quiet, introverted man would choose that career—but it was something he felt called to do at an early age, though it can’t have been easy. He had opinions, but didn’t impose them on others. Indeed, it was difficult (and sometimes frustrating) to wrest opinions from him. Significantly, he walked his “talk”—his faith, his love and respect for all people, even those with whom he disagreed—and those were attributes in short supply, even then.

Though I talked about my work any number of times over the years, for much of my working life, I don’t think my dad ever really understood what I “did.” Oh, he knew I worked for banks (when I did), figured that being a “senior vice president” had to be a good thing, knew that I had something to do with pensions, and (eventually) grasped that it also had something to do with something called a 401(k). But as for understanding what I actually did every day—well, he cared mostly that I enjoyed the work, that I found meaning in my chosen field, that I was able—or felt I was able—to make a difference.

While Dad touched a lot of people with his ministry, he touched thousands more with what was a random, almost accidental opportunity. Back in 1972 he was asked by a friend to take on the writing of 13 guest columns in a denominational paper—an “opportunity” that went on for more than three decades (alongside his “day job”). In fact, one of the great joys of my life was when, 20 years into this retirement industry career, I was also presented an “opportunity” to begin writing for a living—and my dad, though he didn’t always understand what I was writing about, could appreciate that I was—eventually—following in his (writing) footsteps.

His impact on me, and my life notwithstanding, I’m a different person than my dad, though his example is never very far from my thoughts. As a parent, I’ve tried to share with my kids the lessons I’ve learned (and continue to learn), tried to spare them the pain that came with many of those, but also tried to give them the room they need—and deserve—to learn their own on the life path(s) they chose, though that’s a life lesson of its own, and one with which I still sometimes struggle.

Along the way, I’ve tried to make a point to tell them—regularly—how proud I am of them. But mostly I try not only to tell—but to show them—how much I love them—and to do so as often as I can.

Because while there’s a lot we can leave behind—there’s nothing like a living legacy.

- Nevin E. Adams, JD

Saturday, June 13, 2020

In Emergency Only...

Back when I was in school (OK, so it was way back), there were these little red fire alarm boxes strategically placed throughout the building. Their purpose was clearly indicated in big white letters… but, inevitably, as the school year wound to a close…  

Well, it seemed that someone was always pulling those levers, and no, not because of any actual fire—but rather because some hapless soul had been pressured to create a nuisance, but more commonly just because some upper classman was looking to avoid a test for which they weren’t prepared, or wanted to get outside and enjoy the fresh air.

Initially these emergency calls got the expected response, and we all dutifully filed down the stairs and out to our designated areas. And, sure enough, by the time the building was evacuated, the premises sufficiently investigated, and the student body returned to our respective classrooms—well, it left little time for actual instruction, for a period, at least. And then afterwards we’d get the loudspeaker reminder that these were “for emergency only.”

Last week the Wall Street Journal ran a piece titled, “Should You Tap Retirement Funds in a Crisis? Increasingly, People Say Yes”, and then proceeded to outline the circumstances of several individuals who have, following a variety of hardships imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic (and subsequent economic shutdown) tapped into their 401(k) for some financial sustenance. The article[ii] proceeded not only to chronicle the recent legislation that has loosened the restrictions on loans, and created a whole new category of distributions to help stave off financial catastrophe in the wake of the pandemic, but that has, ever since Hurricane Katrina, become something of a pattern of relief—well, pretty much every time there is some kind of regional calamity.

Indeed, the lowering of the barriers to a pre-retirement withdrawal of these ostensibly for retirement funds has become so routine that it seems that every time there is a wildfire, flood, tornado, hurricane, earthquake, or natural disaster that impacts more than a local neighborhood, our industry queues up for the inevitable relief announcement like a Pavlovian pack.

Don’t get me wrong. I am pleased and proud of a system that, at a time of severe and extraordinary financial hardships, can provide an essential financial lifeline. Moreover, unlike the mammoth amounts of government aid and assistance already targeted, these funds provide relief that is literally funded by the very pockets of those impacted by the disaster.[iii]

And yet, while appreciating both the need and positive potential impact that these programs can have, as we look ahead to the future they’re “borrowing” from, one can’t help but hope that most won’t be forced to. Indeed, the WSJ article notes that from late March through May 8, (just) 1.5% of eligible people with 401(k) accounts handled by Fidelity Investments took some money out, while Empower Retirement notes that (only) about 1% of 401(k) savers in plans it administers that allow the withdrawals took money out through May 31, while Alight Solutions LLC, puts the figure at 1.2%, though it notes that more than half of those withdrew $100,000 (or their whole balance if it was less than that). Similarly, a recent survey of the ASPPA TPA community suggests that loan and withdrawal volumes are, in fact, largely, in line with traditional trends.[iv]

Even now, however, there are voices encouraging and enticing ostensibly COVID-impacted individuals who don’t have a financial emergency to take advantage of this new “opportunity” to pull money out of those retirement savings accounts, doubtless preying on their concerns, and—in some cases surely—greed.

Here’s hoping that individuals remember that these accounts—as with those school building fire alarms,—should be “pulled” only “in case of emergency.”

- Nevin E. Adams, JD

[ii]To their credit, the WSJ article includes cautionary voices, noting that pulling out retirement money now might undermine their future financial security, that pulling that money out during volatile markets might well be a “sell low” decision, and that encouraging withdrawals now is, at best, a mixed message about the retirement focus of these accounts. The title may suggest a groundswell of voices “increasingly” calling for pre-retirement access, but even those featured in the article whose hands have been forced by circumstances beyond their control largely express caution and concern at having done so—and a commitment to continued prudent preparations once their current economic turmoil ends.
[iii]Indeed, that’s quite different from the government or employer-funded international pension systems (Australia and Malaysia, of all places) cited in the WSJ article as now permitting pre-retirement access.
[iv]The WSJ article also reports that retirement savings programs sponsored by California, Oregon and Illinois reported increases in distributions following state shutdowns. As of the end of May, 13.7% of IRAs that Illinois residents funded through the state’s Illinois Secure Choice program had been fully or partially liquidated, up from 10.7% on Jan. 1.

Saturday, June 06, 2020

Uncertain Outcomes

As the nation enters its third month under the constraints of the COVID-19 pandemic, it seems a dramatic understatement to say we are living in uncertain times.

Let’s face it, even as the nation begins to (re)open, concerns about the coronavirus remain widespread, and the markets, though stabilizing, remain volatile. Unemployment rates, though optimism remains that they will be short-lived, are at levels not seen since… well, at levels never seen before. And then, in the midst of all this, as a nation, we are reeling from a fresh wound—the tragedy and implications of George Floyd’s death—and while many are hopeful that meaningful change can finally come from this, there’s sadness—and anger—that the protests calling for that change have been accompanied by acts of violence.

Amidst all this worry and uncertainty, it’s hard to believe that the CARES Act—and the Payroll Protection Program—have only just been drafted, executed, and implemented to help stave off at least some of the economic uncertainty that currently confronts many. Not to mention that we had only just begun getting our arms around the practical implications of the SECURE Act—which incorporated retirement provisions that purported to stave off future economic disaster.

The mortality and hospitalization projections related to COVID-19 have perhaps provided a fresh appreciation for both the importance, and the limitations, of models as a predictor of the future impact of current decisions. That said, those seeking to forestall problems are generally well advised to rely on something other than a “gut sense” of the potential impact.

Earlier this year the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) projected the potential impact of the key provisions[i] of the SECURE Act. EBRI projected that those projections could  reduce the U.S. retirement deficit for workers currently age 35-39 by as much as 5.3%—double that if they work for small employers (those less than 100 employees), mostly because those who are in the latter category are so much less likely to have access to a retirement savings plan at work—and, as readers of our publications know, those without access to a plan at work are significantly less likely to save for retirement—12 times less likely, in fact.

However, the overall impact of these SECURE provisions is larger; those specific projections merely quantify the reduction in shortfalls for those who otherwise wouldn’t have enough retirement income.
Among those who were already deemed to have had “enough” retirement income (and EBRI employs a fairly conservative basis for that foundation, one based on actual estimated needs, rather than an ad hoc percentage of pre-retirement income), SECURE almost certainly adds some cushion to those projections. Indeed, the EBRI report differentiates between reductions in deficit and increases in surplus.

When You Assume…

Those are encouraging numbers. But it’s worth acknowledging that there’s a healthy dose of assumptions underlying those projections, as surely there must be in anticipating future human behaviors. EBRI’s Research Director (and data modeler extraordinaire) Dr. Jack VanDerhei takes pains to outline those in the paper, but it’s worth noting that the ranges in assumptions employed are—well, they’re all over the place.


Consider that in the EBRI report, the assumptions presented for MEP adoption range from a one-third take-up by employers with no participant opt-out to one in which two-thirds of employers who do not currently offer a plan choose to do so, with a 25% opt-out rate by workers. And, as you might imagine, the results vary widely based on the assumptions used. On the other hand, they’re arguably no different than if you were to ask a random group of advisors how many more employers will now offer plans because of changes like the greatly expanded start-up tax credit, or as a result of the efficiencies resulting from an open MEP.

Now, unlike many of the uncertainties in our lives, when it comes to retirement, advisors can make a difference—and potentially a huge difference in the SECURE Act realities, whether it’s by informing and encouraging employers to take action, nudging them toward positive and proactive plan designs, or simply working with individual workers to help them maximize the expanded opportunities. In sum, we can all have an impact far beyond our immediate circle—and beyond our lifetimes.

We live in uncertain times, after all—but the importance of the role you  play in expanding retirement opportunity and security—and our nation’s future—is anything but…

- Nevin E. Adams, JD

[i]Specifically, the projections contemplate greater access by allowing providers to offer multiple employee plans (MEPs), and also factor in the impact of raising the cap under which plan sponsors can automatically enroll workers in “safe harbor” 401(k) plans from 10% to 15% of wages, and required coverage of long-term part-time employees.