If you’ve been asked in the past two weeks what to do about the
market (and who hasn’t), I’m sure your response has been something along
the lines of . . . “Nothing.”
There are, of course, more eloquent ways to express that sentiment.
And, let’s face it, when it seems that everyone is asking that
question—it’s generally well past the time when it is prudent to try and
do—well, anything.
Still, it seems that throughout my professional career, every time
the market plunges (even when it stays down for an extended period), the
pundits all seem to say the same thing; “the fundamentals are sound,”
“we’re going through a period of short-term volatility,” or “we were due
for a correction” (sometimes all of the above). Granted, this period
seems unusual—there is a non-financial cause (the coronavirus outbreak)
that is projected/anticipated to have a financial impact of unknown size
and duration. That it has emerged at the outset of what is likely to be
one of the more contentious election cycles in memory will, of course,
only fan the flames of uncertainty—which is, at its core, the heart of
all market volatility.
As for the admonitions to “stand pat,” while we’d all like to believe
that we don’t need to do anything (and it’s generally too late anyway),
there’s something to be said for a timely, comforting voice of
reassurance. Better yet if that reassurance comes from someone
knowledgeable in such matters—and better still when that reassurance
comes from someone familiar with the particulars of our investment
portfolio and financial needs/aspirations.
Plan sponsor fiduciaries are generally appreciative of those
messages. They bear responsibility for the prudence of such investments,
after all—and the reassurances of experts that prudence has been
manifested in their decisions (or their non-decisions) is understandably
welcome. Most are only too happy to pass along those reassurances to
the retirement plan participants on whose behalf their decisions (or
non-decisions) have been made.
Indeed, it’s a rare 401(k) enrollment meeting or education pamphlet
that doesn’t remind us all that 401(k)s are long-term investments, that
they continue to benefit from the on-going benefits of dollar-cost
averaging, and perhaps increasingly that their investment in a
diversified asset allocation “solution” like a target-date fund or
managed account means that they needn’t concern themselves with those
kind of interim swings.
Tough times can engender resentment and, in extreme cases, litigation, after all.
But they can also foster an appreciation for expert counsel, and that
current reassurance that the inevitable “storm” has been
anticipated—and that tough times can bring with them, opportunity.
- Nevin E. Adams, JD
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