Saturday, October 25, 2025

Things That Make Me ‘Mad as Hell’ — Part 2

 Last week, I shared a list of things that make me “mad as hell” — things that those in our industry generate, promote and often share as fact without any application of common sense, and no apparent appreciation for the damage done by their complicity in sharing such nonsense. 

Here’s the rest of the list: 

Reporting on average — well, anything (see Why an Average 401(k) Balance Doesn't 'Mean' Much).

You name it, if it involves numbers from widely varied sources, individuals, or different time periods, somebody in this industry will report it as an arithmetic average. This industry continues to insist on reporting average 401(k) balances, average fees, average estimates on retirement needs, and more recently “forgotten” average account balances. I get it. Averages are widely considered to be a middle of the pack assessment of reality.

But that’s only true when you are averaging things that are similar, and more importantly real. If you take numbers from completely different time periods, from individuals with a wide disparity of existence, or — worse yet — take completely made-up numbers compounded by wild exaggerations — and average them … well, you get mush. And that’s a kind assessment.

Surveys that show an average or median account balance — with no delineation for age or tenureSee 4 Things That Make Me Go ‘Huh?’

So, if you take the average balance of a 24-year old who has just started contributing, and add it to that of a 55-year-old who has been saving for a career — and then average those together … on what planet would that tell you ANYTHING about the real state of retirement plan saving or preparation? 

And yet, that “average 401(k) balance” is routinely referred to in the press, and “dutifully” reported even by the trade press as though its some kind of magic barometer on the actual state of retirement security.

Worse, every year that number is presented against the average (of averages) from the prior year as though that change tells us anything about the actual progress of anything beyond the ability of folks to do simple math, and with no acknowledgement as to just how silly it is to blend together the cumulated savings of individuals who are paid a wide range of salaries, who defer at widely different rates, who live in completely different parts of the country, and who range in age (and participation) from “yesterday” to decades. 

Yes, I’d say that your average 401(k) balance is, generally speaking, mathematically accurate — and, at least in terms of ascertaining the nation’s retirement readiness, nearly completely useless.

A single provider survey that shows an average or median account balance. See Why an Average 401(k) Balance Doesn't 'Mean' Much.

Most of these average account balance surveys are, in fact, the average of account balances of those whose balances are maintained by a single firm. Aside from the obvious disparities noted above (age, tenure) that distort the result into meaningless mush, we all know that people change jobs — and that employers change recordkeeping providers — all the time.

So, if my 401(k) balance is part of Recordkeeper A’s portfolio this year, but my employer changes recordkeepers so that my balance (and that of my co-workers) is part of Recordkeeper B’s portfolio the following year — imagine how that might (and should) impact the so-called “average” 401(k) balance that Recordkeeper A reports — suddenly several hundred million dollars “disappear” — particularly when it chooses to apply some percentage change to those two different years.[i] 

Tell me again why anybody thinks that number — much less the variance — tells me anything relevant about the state of retirement savings/security.

Surveys that claim participants want things they can’t possibly understand. See Talking Points: (Just Because) Survey Says?

In recent days, we’ve been assured that participants are clamoring to have access to private market investments. Before that, it was cryptocurrency — and for what seems like months now it’s all been about retirement income. Apparently vast majorities of participants are eager to have access through their 401(k) to an array of complex financial instruments to which they have, thus far, been largely (or totally) barred — or so surveys say.

Indeed, I’ve always been amazed that organizations are able to find so many ostensibly knowledgeable participants to weigh in on these complex topics — particularly since there is an abundance of (other) surveys that suggest that when it comes to financial matters, participants are, largely, clueless.

Not that that seems to dampen their collective interest in these new options — though when given a chance to put their money where their mouth is, participants seem to be about as cautious as you’d expect (want?) largely financially clueless individuals to be. Doubtless the questions posed in those surveys are less complex than the actual decision points turn out to be.

That said, and not to be TOO cynical — the vast majority of these surveys are sponsored by, and in many cases, conducted by the very firms that are manufacturing the very products that their surveys say participants want.

I’m not saying they couldn’t have found individuals that do, or that they weren’t able to pose the questions (or present the responses) in a way that supports those conclusions.

But it does make you wonder…

Data “analysis” that takes real stuff, combines it with fake stuff, makes up a new scary-sounding name for it, and then claiming that vast majorities of all the retirement plans in existence are in “violation.” See Talking Points: A Red Flag for a ‘Red Flag’ Report.

As you can tell from the above, there are plenty of mis- or exaggerated positionings of data (real and imagined) to take issue with. But the most egregious example of this in recent memory was a report that claimed — based on an “analysis” of Form 5500 filings — that 84% of all (that’s right ALL) retirement plans in the United States have “at least one likely Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) red flag from a regulatory and/or fiduciary violation.”

Now, we all know that at any given moment, there are plans with issues. That said, and as with the “analysis” on “forgotten” accounts, this one is just silly on its face. Not that that kept even the trade press from dutifully (almost breathlessly) sharing that headline. And then they proceeded to detail — without comment/context — the basis for that “assessment.”

See, they made up categories; Regulatory Infraction Red Flags (RIRF) and Egregious Plan Mismanagement Red Flags (EPMRF). Nothing illegal about that — and to their credit, they at least detailed the “red flags” that would cause a plan to be tagged in one (or both) of those categories.

Regarding the former, those 1) had loss from fraud or dishonesty; 2) not offering qualified default investment alternatives (QDIA); 3) an insufficient fidelity bond; and 4) not 404(c) compliant. With a straight face, the firm claimed that at least 328,833 retirement plans had at least one of these RIRFs, representing approximately 43% of the total plans. And with an equally (and much more disappointing) straight face, the trade press glossed over the reality that neither offering a QDIA nor being 404(c) compliant were requirements under ERISA.

As for the latter, those “infractions” (their word choice, not mine) were detailed as “1) Not including automatic enrollment; 2) No corrective distribution of excessive contributions; 3) No 404(c) with participant-directed accounts; and 4) Failure to transmit payments on time.” Once again, we don’t have a breakdown of how many in which category, but they claim that at least 584,113 retirement plans had at least one EPMRF, representing approximately 76% of the total plans. And, once again, they just ignored the reality that neither automatic enrollment nor 404(c) compliance is legally required (unless it’s a plan adopted after Dec. 29, 2022, and those won’t yet have shown up in the Form 5500 data). And, once again, the trade press just reported these categories and criteria “straight.”

Look, an advisory firm can set out whatever standards it deems appropriate, affix clever (if arguably misleading) names (and acronyms) to practices that fall short of those individual standards, and even issue a press release proclaiming that it has found the vast majority of plans in existence are found “wanting” based on those standards — doubtless in hopes that it will be picked up and shared uncritically by the media (and read by potential clients). 

But is that the kind of firm you’d be wanting to help ensure legal compliance?

What to Do

One would like to think that with the readership here, all it would take is for yours truly to hold this kind of stuff up to the light, and we’d self-correct, or disappear altogether. Worst case, you’d hope that the trade press would at least apply a context filter to their reporting. Sadly, several of the things on this year’s list continue to be reported and carried — with no context or caveat — year after year.

And let’s face it, every time someone writes about them — even critically — it generates both the awareness, “clicks” and impressions that feed and fuel the impact metrics that PR firms used to benchmark success. Like Howard Beale on Network, the crazier and more outrageous the commentary, the more likely it will get picked up. I’ve even tried ignoring the nonsense — but with expanded access to social media, I find that a growing number of “us” are uncritically sharing and forwarding, perhaps on the assumption that you can’t put out a press release with made up stuff in it.

I’ve tried to comment on that stuff — included links to my analysis, where applicable — and hoped to encourage caution, if not responsibility, in those actions. Trust me, folks who don’t like the 401(k) or the private retirement system are looking for this kind of commentary to undermine confidence and support in those systems.

Today I would quite simply ask each of you to pause when you see the types of things I’ve noted here — if you see merit in sharing them, please consider providing context to go with that share.

And if it’s clearly nonsense on its face, please join me in calling it out for what it is — “BS.”

Maybe if enough of “us” hold them to account (and remember that some of “us” are “us”), we’ll all be better informed and better able to help folks build a financially successful retirement.

  • Nevin E. Adams, JD

 


[i] This can, of course, also happen at the individual participant level for someone who changes jobs and takes his/her balance either with them to a different provider, or perhaps takes it out altogether to an IRA.

 

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Things That Make Me ‘Mad as Hell’

  So, what kinds of things get your blood “boiling?”

Some of you will recall that back in 1976 there was a movie called “Network” with a big cast that got nominated for a bunch of academy awards including best picture and director (didn’t win), as well as best actress and actor (won both, as well as best supporting actress and several others). The underlying premise of the movie was one of corporate greed, more specifically the extremes to which TV networks would go to garner ratings. The most extreme was allowing an aging network anchor named Howard Beale to remain on camera after he said he was going to blow his brains out on national TV.

Well, he didn’t — but he did wind up being positioned as a kind of “mad prophet” ranting about the ills of society, leading up to an evening where he encouraged similarly frustrated viewers to go to their respective windows and shout “I’m mad as hell, and I’m not going to take it anymore!” While that frustrated call to action likely didn’t actually change anything — it apparently was good for ratings.


While we still have TV ratings (though I’m amazed at the mere slivers of population that these days constitute “winners” in the various time slots), these days it’s all about clicks, views, forwards, and impressions. 

And it was with that in mind last week I shared with those in attendance at the Leafhouse National Retirement Symposium (LNRS) a list of things that made me “mad as hell” — things that those in our industry generate, promote and often share as fact without any application of common sense, and no apparent appreciation for the damage done by their complicity in sharing such nonsense. 

Here's my list — of things that make ME “mad as hell” — in hopes that you’ll agree.

  1. Reports that label as “abandoned,” unclaimed or “forgotten” account balances that have simply been “left behind.” See Talking Points: Third Time No Charm in ‘Forgotten Account’ Fantasy.

Seriously — does ANYBODY think that 20% of the total balances in the 401(k) universe is “forgotten?” And yet there were any number of retirement industry folks (and trade publications) that faithfully picked up and shared this third bi-annual report from Capitalize, which every year gets even bigger and more exaggerated (the “black magic” of compounding). 

Sure, there are SOME in that category — but TRILLIONS? This report is nonsense — and shame on you if you gave it legitimacy by passing it along with anything other than jaw-dropping incredulity. 

  1. People who think “good faith compliance” with the law could include completely ignoring the law. See Talking Points: Braking ‘Breaking’ News.

Last month, the IRS surprised us all with the release of final regulations regarding the Roth “cap” on catch-up contributions. And then the rumors started. 

Let’s face it — the regulations were a LOOOONG time coming. So long in coming that there were some who were thinking (a) they weren’t coming at all, or (b) the IRS would simply push back the enforcement date (as they had previously). To their credit, most of the industry publications acknowledged the complexity of the read and indicated there would be more to follow. 

But then some misread the effective date of the final regulations (01/01/2027) as applying to the date on which the Roth cap on higher-income individuals would be applied — which had been set as 1/1/2026 in the preliminary regulations issued in January — and which the final regulations stated was NOT impacted by the final regulations. 

Worse — they somehow saw the IRS’ lenience in allowing for “good faith compliance” with the (admittedly) late issuance of the final regulations as allowing them to just ignore the 2026 date. And then there were the folks who, in their hurry to share that news, got on social media to do just that.

Folks — if you don’t KNOW the answer, don’t make matters worse (not to mention your credibility) by sharing it. 

  1. Pretending like everybody used to have a defined benefit plan. See A Penchant for Pensions?

This one’s a “golden oldie” — a “myth” that keeps coming up. Indeed, in a recent Fortune article, Teresa Ghilarducci tried to explain away the lack of an apparent retirement crisis by claiming that older Boomers all had pensions.

The truth is that, at its peak, only 38% of workers in the private sector were ever covered by a pension. And “covered by” only means they worked for an employer that offered a pension. Only about 12% ever got a full pension from the plans they were covered by. You want to talk about a retirement crisis? Think about the one we’d have if we were relying on defined benefit plans.

  1. Adding up 20 years’ worth of potential expense and presenting it as a lump-sum retirement savings target. See: Talking Points: A Health Care ‘Scare’

Are you ready to spend $86,000 on cable TV in retirement?

I know, crazy, right? And yet that’s the kind of math being used to get people’s attention about retirement these days. The most recent — an annual study by Fidelity that now estimates that a 65-year-old retiring in 2025 can expect to spend an average of $172,500 on health care and medical expenses throughout retirement. There are some lengthy caveats footnoted on that projection, but suffice it to say that the number is — and is certainly intended to be — an attention-grabber. 

And, let’s face it, a headline that said you’re going to need to spend $8,625 per year in retirement on health care (1/20 of $172,500) really doesn’t have the same impact — particularly if you are paying attention to what you are spending on health care prior to retirement, which may well be less than that.

In which case the headline might actually be something like “you might not have to spend as much in health care after retirement as you do now.”   

But where’s the panic button for THAT? 

  1. Surveys that ask people who have never done a retirement-needs estimate to estimate the “magic number” they’ll need to save for retirement. See No 'Magic' in These 401(k) Retirement Numbers

Another annual report that makes my blood boil is one that purports to share a “magic” number for retirement, based on what survey respondents said they thought they’d need. As though they’d know.

It always garners a lot of coverage — generally climbs higher from the previous iteration — and is always positioned next to numbers from completely different people as to what they actually have accumulated, and always about half the magic number. 

There are many problems with reports like this — none of which the breathless reporting of the conclusions acknowledged:

(1) It’s an average — while we get some breakdown on age brackets, we know nothing about their incomes, where they live, their health, etc. What someone needs (or thinks they need) living in New York City is (or should be) considerably different from the projections of someone living in Dubuque, Iowa.   

(2) It’s based on what people “think” (who have probably not given this any real thought).

(3) It’s surveying completely different groups of people a year apart, so drawing a trendline is a predictable, but dubious reality.

Let’s face it, stories like this serve mostly to fuel the concerns that responsible human beings already have as they try to look ahead to future decades in a time of tremendous uncertainty.

If they weren’t nervous before they saw these headlines, they surely are afterwards. 

Next week: The rest of the list — and what you can do about it/them.

  • Nevin E. Adams, JD

Saturday, October 04, 2025

5 Ways Changing Jobs Puts (Your) Retirement at Risk

  Changing jobs can be a time of great energy and excitement — but if you’re not attentive, it can also undermine your retirement security. Here are five ways it can do so.

Cashing It Out

Probably the biggest job change risk to retirement security is the rollover decision. Generally speaking, most with balances less than $1,000 are automatically issued a check of their savings minus income tax and 10% penalties, those with between $1,000 and $7,000 are given two other options to cashing out: to roll over assets into a qualified IRA or to transfer to a new employer’s plan, while those with balances over $7,000 also have the option to leave their account with that old employer plan.

As you might expect, smaller balances are not only the most likely to be those of lower income individuals, but they also tend to be lower tenured and are more likely to be women. Oh — and if that individual has an outstanding loan? Well, that’s where the real “leakage” occurs. Remembering of course that there will be federal and possibly state/city taxes netted against it, not to mention a 10% penalty for all that are less than 59 ½.

Sizing the impact of this leakage is complicated, but the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) has estimated that each year approximately 40 percent of terminated participants elect to prematurely cash out 15% of plan assets. For 2015, EBRI estimated that $92.4 billion was lost due to leakages from cashouts.

Putting It in a Money Market ‘Mattress’

Even those who manage to successfully rollover their balance to an individual retirement account (IRA) can lose out on retirement account growth. A 2024 Vanguard analysis notes that 28% of rollover investors stayed in cash for at least 12 months, with minimal changes after the first three months following the contribution.

More than that, the report notes that among rollovers conducted in 2015, 28% remained in cash for at least seven years — and explains that younger investors, women, and those with smaller balances (who, of course, are the same groups that are more prone to cashouts in the first place) are especially prone to staying in cash for years following a rollover.

Which these days is pretty much the same result as sticking in under your mattress.

Leaving It ‘Behind’

In view of the hurdles cited above, it should come as no surprise that some go with the path of least resistance — and for some that means just leaving your account where it is. In fact, there are some recent surveys that suggest that employers are not only fine with that, there is some preference for leaving those balances — particularly larger balances — in the plan where they originated.

That’s just fine — and may even be preferable for any number of reasons — so long as you keep up with it. That said, it’s the kind of thing that’s easy to lose track of — that old employer may change recordkeepers, necessitating a new website/phone number to access your account, changes in investment options that might impact your account, or even — certainly if the balance is small enough — you just forgetting that you still have an account there. All in all, EBRI has estimated that over a 40-year period, those accumulations might add up to $1.5 to $1.99 trillion.[i]

Regardless, leaving one — or multiple — retirement plan accounts with your prior employer(s) may be the easiest thing to do at job change. However, that can make it more difficult to manage your retirement savings — and there have been situations where “forgotten” accounts have fallen prey to online theft, in no small part because they haven’t been accessed in a while, or perhaps not at all following a provider change. Just don’t let “out of sight” become out of mind.

Settling for Savings Rate Resets

Consider a 2024 Vanguard study that found that, despite having an increase in income from a job change, many workers experience a substantial slowdown in savings. The median job switcher saw a 10% increase in pay, but a 0.7 percentage point DECLINE in their retirement saving rate when they switched employers. And while most job switchers (64% of the income sample) experienced a boost to their income, just 44% increased or maintained their saving rate from their prior job.

Most (55%) actually DECREASED their saving rate in their new job. Arguably not because they intended to, but because they simply drifted along with the default savings rate at their new employer. Even when they experienced a pay increase of more than 20%!

Taking a New Job Without a ‘New’ Plan

A new analysis by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) finds that when a worker did have a retirement plan at a job, they were more likely to stay at that job compared with workers who did not have a plan. The report notes that, for example, in 1996, 76.8% of retirement plan participants were still at the same job they had had in 1994 compared with just 58.1% of those who were not retirement plan participants.

On the other hand, among workers who changed jobs from 1996–2022, an average of 43.8% moved from a job without a retirement plan to another job without a retirement plan, while an average of 20.9% had a retirement plan at both jobs.

That said, only an average of 15.3% gained a plan upon job change. while an average of 20% lost access to a plan via work.

All that said, perhaps the most encouraging statistic comes from a recent Schwab survey of stock plan participants — and while that might be an unusual subset, according to the survey, 82% of respondents consider a 401(k) plan a must-have benefit when evaluating a new job, surpassing health insurance coverage at 78%.

Because, as we know, access to a retirement plan at work is the very best way to help provide for a financially successful life after work.

In sum, when making a job change, you should:

  1. Look for ways to avoid taking a distribution (and incurring the substantial taxes).
  2. Look to see if the new employer has a retirement plan — and whether it permits rollovers or not.
  3. Make sure your rollover balance is properly invested.
  4. Make sure your savings rate in the new plan keeps pace with your previous — and perhaps more if you got an increase.
  5. And while you’re at it — it’s a good time to do a retirement readiness check-in to make sure that the plans for retirement are current.

-              Nevin E. Adams, JD

[i] There have been some ridiculous projections as to how much this adds up to. The point is valid — the math, not so much. See The True 'Cost' of 'The True Cost of Forgotten 401(k) Accounts.'