Markets Timing

As it happens, I’ll commemorate an anniversary of my birth this weekend.

It’s not a particularly significant one—it doesn’t end in a 5 or a 0, won’t trigger any new savings opportunities or impact (catch-up, RMD trigger, forbearance of withdrawal penalties, or Social Security)—but it is a birthday, and therefore a day upon which to reflect (and to wonder anew why we don’t make more fuss about our mothers, who—let’s face it—did the real work on that day).

Traditionally, on my birthday weekend (and the 4^th of July holiday), I have taken a look at my current asset allocations and, when circumstances warranted, rebalanced. There’s no magic to those points in time. It’s not the ONLY time I look (and act)—but it happens to be a time when, whatever is going on in the market, I have a calendar-driven opportunity to take a breath and take a longer view. And, let’s face it, this year has been a bumpy ride in the markets.

The mantra in times of volatile markets is, inevitably, “stay the course”—wise counsel in most situations, particularly since the impulse in such times is often action that one comes to regret in the fullness of time. However, for some, just sitting still and “taking” what the markets choose to inflict on your retirement savings can be excruciating. 

For me, anyway, this year will be a little different. Most significantly, as I near my “retirement” threshold, I’ll actually be shifting into a different pace of accumulation. And, for the first time in my working career, I will be doing it with my retirement savings accumulated into a single place (well, technically two—one for Roth, the other for the traditional pre-tax rollovers). That said, and my birthdate notwithstanding, I still have plenty of investment runway to ride.  

That said, and while my weekend should be a bit less structured than usual, here are some things I have traditionally done—that you, or those you support, may find useful—particularly with the current market uncertainties.      

Get started on rebalancing by changing the investment elections of NEW contributions, rather than transferring existing balances. It will take longer to realign the entire account, but at least you aren't realizing those as-yet-unrealized losses.

Increase current deferral rates. When you think about just how much cheaper those retirement plan investments are now, compared to a year ago, it's hard to pass up that kind of bargain. More so if you aren't yet saving at the maximum level of the match.

Consider automated rebalancing. Most providers now have in place mechanisms that will, on some preset frequency (monthly, quarterly, annually), automatically rebalance individual accounts in accordance with investment elections. It's a good way to keep things in balance without having to worry (or remember) about the best time to do so—calendared events notwithstanding.

Better yet, consider shifting to a target-date fund or managed account. You may well be wondering why I would go to the “trouble” of manually rebalancing my 401(k) when there are professionally managed solutions available like target-date funds and managed accounts. The reality is that only one of my previous 401(k)s had target-date funds available on their menu[i]—and I have taken advantage of that regular rebalancing by professionals to some advantage.

None of this has to wait for a birthday, of course. But doing so on a regular basis can be an effective way to ensure that you get that retirement wish when you blow out the candles!

Nevin E. Adams, JD 

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[i] Another had a managed account option (that I didn’t care for).

Closing the "Opportunity" Gap

There’s no one silver bullet likely to close the nation’s retirement plan coverage gap—but the target is pretty easy to spot.

As it turns out, the nation’s retirement plan access coverage gap is almost exclusively found among small businesses, and it’s not hard to imagine why. The failure rate for small businesses is daunting—and those who’ve managed to avoid that fate are doubtless focused on trying to avoid becoming a statistic. Under those circumstances one can well appreciate that offering benefits, much less RETIREMENT benefits, probably seems like a luxury for another time, if not another business.

A recent issue brief by Anqi Chen and Alicia Munnell of the Center for Retirement Research (CRR) at Boston College examined the issue, and drawing on previous research[i] cited the following three main barriers:

• uncertain revenues that make it hard for a firm to commit to a plan;
• employee preferences for wages and other benefits;[ii] and
• the cost associated with establishing and administering a plan (this latter included an assumption by some/many that employer contributions were required).

Indeed, surveys seeking to better understand this reluctance generally find two major obstacles: cost and complexity of administration. And that was before the recent economic downturn. 

Starter Up!

Enter the SECURE 2.0 Act of 2022 which, among its 90-some-odd retirement plan provisions, contains two that are squarely fixed on resolving those issues. The first of these is the so-called Starter K.  Basically, starting now—employers that have never had a plan can set up a “starter” 401(k) or 403(b) plan. There is no required employer contribution, though employees are automatically enrolled at 3% of pay (they can opt out). While this an actual 401(k)/403(b) plan, it looks more like an IRA, more specifically the type that have been established by a number of states. The limits for employee contributions start at $6,000, indexed to inflation—and there is an additional opportunity for a catch-up contribution of $1,000 for those individuals over 50. However, unlike the traditional 401(k)/403(b), there is no nondiscrimination or top-heavy testing requirements. 

All in all, it’s a straightforward, simple 401(k) design that removes the complexity (and cost) concerns that have held many small businesses back. Conservative estimates prepared for the American Retirement Association suggest that this could provide 19 million working Americans access to a workplace retirement plan that didn’t have that opportunity previously.

Credits ‘Worthy’

But perhaps the biggest incentive found in SECURE 2.0 is the greatly expanded tax credit for new plans.  Under current law, employers with less than 100 employees that adopt a new retirement plan can qualify for an annual tax credit for up to three years equal to the lesser of (1) 50% of the administrative cost of establishing the plan, or (2) $5,000. But, effective for 2023, SECURE Act 2.0 increases that percentage from 50% to 100% for employers with 50 or fewer employees (it remains at 50% for those with 51-100 employees). So, it covers 100% the cost of operating the plan, up to $5,000 (which, I’m told with some confidence is more than the cost of running those size plans). 

More than that, it also establishes a generous new tax credit for contributions made by small employers to a newly established retirement plan (other than a defined benefit plan)—a tax credit that is a set percentage of the amount contributed by the employer for employees up to a per-employee cap of $1,000 (though contributions to those that make $100,000 or more are not taken into account). Better still, that set percentage is 100% for the year the plan is established AND the following year, 75% for the third year, 50% for the fourth year, 25% for the fifth year (0% thereafter). The full amount of the new tax credit would be available to employers with 50 or fewer employees but phases out for employers with 51 to 100 employees. 

MEP ‘Step’

Oh—and for fans of multiple employer plans (MEPs), the start-up credits are available for three years to employers that join an existing MEP, regardless of how long the plan has been in existence (the MEP rule is retroactively effective for taxable years beginning after Dec. 31, 2019).

The reality is that even today more than 30% of all private-sector American workers still lack access to workplace retirement plans and thus lack an equitable opportunity to achieve a comfortable retirement.   Further, nearly 60% of workers in the lowest income classes still lack access to workplace plans. We talk about a “coverage” gap, but it’s really an opportunity gap.     

The challenges confronting small businesses are no less—and arguably even larger now—than they’ve ever been. But, amidst all the economic uncertainty—and with the importance of worker attraction and retention more critical than ever—SECURE 2.0 offers opportunity—not only to strengthen and solidify those workplace bonds—but in the process to help give American workers the opportunity to better prepare for a secure retirement.

- Nevin E. Adams, JD 

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[i] Specifically by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI), the Pew Charitable Trusts, and the Transamerica Institute.

[ii] Incredibly, the EBRI research, which admittedly went back to 2003, cited as a primary rationale that employees hadn’t REQUESTED the benefit.

Withdrawal Symptoms?

 There’s nothing like a global pandemic to fuel interest in, if not the need for, emergency savings. Indeed, there are a half dozen provisions[i] in the new SECURE 2.0 designed to make it easier for workers to tap into their retirement savings—two aimed specifically at emergency savings.

Though the financial impact of the pandemic (not to mention a series of natural disasters) has arguably been uneven, a report from Vanguard[ii] highlighted the longer-term impacts of the economic slowdown and inflation’s growing bite of the household budget. It's also widely acknowledged that concerns about the inability to fund an unexpected financial emergency is a source of stress for workers, undermining financial wellness.   

All that said, well before COVID-19, there have been concerns about Americans’ lack of emergency savings[iii] and, perhaps more broadly, that they were using their retirement savings accounts as that resource. Behavioral finance-types have counseled that a mental, if not physical, segregation of money by purpose is helpful, and at least one of the new SECURE 2.0 provisions seems designed to make that structure a reality by creating an emergency savings “sidecar” alongside regular retirement savings accounts. 

The first of these is found in Section 115 and, beginning in 2024 it says a participant may generally make a withdrawal of up to $1,000 per year from their retirement account for certain emergencies. The withdrawal may be taxable (unless drawn from Roth) and MAY be repaid within three years, but it will not be subject to the 10% penalty for early withdrawals. Only one withdrawal is permitted per the three-year repayment period—if the first withdrawal has not been repaid.

The other emergency savings provision (Section 127)—and the one that seems to be garnering most of the media attention is the (confusingly labeled) “Pension Linked Emergency Savings Accounts.” Beginning in 2024, it will ALLOW (not require) employers to create an Emergency Savings Account (ESA) as part of a defined contribution plan (401(k) or 403(b)). Only non-highly compensated employees may contribute to the account, though employers MAY auto-enroll such individuals in an EAS up to 3% of their compensation, and the EAS value cannot exceed $2,500[iv] (indexed for inflation). All employee contributions to this emergency savings account MUST be made on an after-tax basis—and each month participants may take withdrawals from the account (just to further complicate administration, the first four withdrawals for a year cannot be subject to distribution fees). 

Oh—and speaking of complications, those employee contributions must be treated as elective deferrals for purposes of any matching contributions. The matching contributions are treated by a plan no differently than matching contributions made on account of elective deferrals.   

Now this provision likely makes the behavioral science-types happy—it provides a separate mental (and notational) accounting—and one that doesn’t force the individual to choose between saving for retirement or saving for that “rainy day” emergency, at least in terms of foregoing a company match. 

But, aside from the obvious administrative complexities of this option (certainly for the plan sponsor/recordkeeper), it’s by no means clear that this kind of set up won’t create a kind of “Christmas club” account, with individuals withdrawing these contributions for just about any reason every year (just) long enough to get the match—and then the next year they could do it all over again. And again. The Treasury is authorized to issue regulations to prevent abuse, but there’s no telling if or when (or  what) those rules would be.  

It might be good mental “accounting”—but I’m not sure that it will be good for retirement. 

- Nevin E. Adams, JD 

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[i] While I’m focusing on only two of those provisions here, the others are Section 314 (allows for up to $10,000 of withdrawals from plans and IRAs in cases of domestic abuse, effective 2024), Section 326 (exempts from the 10% excise tax withdrawals from plans and IRAs in cases of terminal illness, effective now), Section 331 (allows for withdrawals from plans and IRAs of up to $22,000 in federally declared disasters, effective retroactively to Jan. 26, 2021), and Section 334 (allows for up to $2,500 a year of withdrawals from workplace plans to pay for long-term care, effective three years after enactment (so generally not until 2026)).

[ii] In fact, that report, published last October, and amidst growing concerns about the above factors and volatile investment markets, noted that the share of workers taking cash from their employer retirement plans through new loans, non-hardship withdrawals, and hardship withdrawals were on the rise in 2022.  Called out for special note was the rise in hardship withdrawals, which Vanguard said had reached an all-time high—though that was only 0.5% of workers tracked by Vanguard (5 million participants in 1,700 employer-sponsored retirement plans administered by the firm).

[iii] The most widely repeated likely being the Federal Reserve survey asking Americans if/how they’d handle a $400 emergency (approximately 1 in 9 said they couldn’t, and while that’s a minority, the headlines have tended to highlight the impact)—but see https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2021/what-a-400-dollar-emergency-expense-tells-us-about-the-economy.

[iv] Though there’s been some question as to whether $2,500 is “enough” (there’s language in the bill calling for a study to see if it needs to be higher).

5 New Year’s Resolutions for 401(k) Plan Fiduciaries

This is the time of year when resolutions for the cessation of bad behaviors and the beginning of better ones are in vogue. Here are three for plan fiduciaries for 2023.

Develop a plan budget.

Most financially-focused New Year’s Resolutions focus on spending (less) or saving (more)—and the really thoughtful ones do both—all tied around the development of a budget that aligns what we have to spend with what we actually spend. 

Most (many?) plans have a budget when it comes to the expenditures that require corporate funding.  Less clear is how many establish some kind of budget when it comes to what participants have to spend.  Now, granted, what they pay will vary based on any number of …variables—but an essential part of ensuring that the fees paid by the plan (for the services provided to the plan) is knowing how much—and for what. 

At some level that means not only keeping an eye on things like expense ratios, the options with revenue-sharing, and the availability of alternative share classes (or options like CITs)—but it also means having an awareness not only of the plan features, but the usage rates of those plan features.

Because when it comes to retirement plans, there often IS a direct link between spending less and saving more.

Put your fund menu on a diet.

Though it is a point often made with studies (well, one frequently cited study, actually) dealing with jellies and ice cream, a long-standing behavioral finance tenet is that more choice doesn’t lead to better decisions. So, what’s with those (still) burgeoning 401(k) investment menus? The 65^th annual Plan Sponsor Council of America’s Survey of Profit-Sharing and 401(k) Plans found that more than a quarter of plan sponsors offer 26 OR MORE options, while another 18% offered 21-25, and 27% offered 16-20.

Odds are that there are funds on the current menu that either aren’t being used or aren’t being used widely—options that contribute little other than clutter to your investment review and to the decisions of your participants.

Take a look—your retirement plan menu shouldn’t be a kitchen sink “solution.”

Check-up—on your target-date fund(s).

Flows to target-date funds (TDF) have continued to be strong—and little wonder, what with their positioning as the qualified default investment alternative (QDIA) of choice for most 401(k)s. That said, the vast majority of those assets are still under the purview of an incredibly small number of firms—with glidepaths that are not as dissimilar as their marketing materials might suggest. 

A TDF is, of course, a plan investment, and like any plan investment, if it fails to pass muster, a plan fiduciary would certainly want to remedy that situation, including removing the fund if necessary (don’t take my word for it—that’s coming straight from the Labor Department).  

That said, TDFs are frequently, if not always, pitched (and likely bought) as a package. While each fund in the family is reviewed separately, and certainly should be, breaking up the set certainly carries with it a series of complicated consequences, not the least of which are participant communication issues and glide path compatibility. Not that those can’t be overcome—and not that those complications would be deemed sufficient to retain an inappropriate investment on the plan menu—but it doesn’t take much imagination to think about the heartburn that might cause.

The reasons cited behind TDF selection run a predictable gamut; price/fees, performance (past, of course, despite those disclaimers), platform (as in, it happens either to be their recordkeepers, or compatible with their program)—and doubtless some are actually doing so based on an objective evaluation of the TDF’s suitability for their plan and employee demographics. 

Whatever your rationale, it’s likely that things have changed—with the TDF’s designs, the markets, your plan, your workforce, or all of the above. 

Pump up the default rate in your auto-enrollment plan.

While a growing number of employers are auto-enrolling workers in their 401(k) plan, one is inclined to assume that, a decade and a half after the passage of the Pension Protection Act, if a plan hasn’t done so by now, they likely have some very specific reasons.

But for those who have already embraced automatic enrollment, those are plans who have (apparently) overcome the range of objections; concerns about paternalism, administrative issues, cost—some may even have heard that fixing problems with automatic enrollment can be—well, problematic (though things have gotten a little easier on that front).

There has been movement here over the years—indeed the most recent PSCA survey found that two-thirds (65%) of plans with automatic enrollment set the default deferral rate high enough so that participants receive the full possible company matching contribution, up from 57.1% as recently as 2020. In fact, the most common default rate for automatic enrollment plans is now more than 6%. 

Set goals for your plan designs.

The mantra about retirement benefits has always been that they exist to help attract and retain good workers. More recently, a reimagined emphasis on financial wellness has offered some nuance to that—to provide better levels of engagement while they are working, to forestall the “distractions” (and potential malfeasance) that financial stress can engender, and ultimately to help workers retire “on time.” These goals are not inherently incompatible, but at any given point in time they require differences in communication, education, emphasis, and potentially program design.  

There is, by the way, a sense of a shift in such things. While the primary goal of participant education has historically been to increase participation rates, the Plan Sponsor Council of America’s 65^th Annual Survey of Profit-Sharing and 401(k) plans notes that in 2020 that shifted to increasing financial literacy of employees in 2020—a shift that held in the most recent survey with 77.4% of organizations now stating that as their primary educational goal. The secondary goal was increasing appreciation for the plan (likely as a retention method) followed by providing retirement planning to employees. The percent of organizations offering financial wellness programs increased to 27%, including more than half of large employers.

If you haven’t revisited those objectives in a while—or, heaven forbid, have never done so—there’s no time like the present for a reset. After all, as Yogi Berra once commented, “If you don’t know where you’re going, you might wind up someplace else.” 

- Nevin E. Adams, JD