I’ve never played the lottery. But there are days…
I tell myself it’s because I know how remote the odds are, that the
rules are too complicated, that they “feed” on the aspirations of people
who should be spending their money on “better” things – and even that I
don’t have enough “lucky” numbers to bet on consistently. But those are
rationalizations.
The simple fact, despite the screaming billboards and nightly news
reminders about the size of the latest “mega” jackpot, is that I simply
find it inconvenient. Oh, it’s not like I never frequent the convenience
stores or even grocery checkouts that these days beg for the
cash/credit card that hasn’t yet been put away. I’ve never really
regretted walking away from those “temptations.” And yet…
As an industry, we spend a lot of time focused on a wide variety of
considerations that impact the likelihood of having a financially
satisfying retirement. But what about those who don’t have access to a
retirement plan?
Now, even thoughtful industry insiders have been known to push back
on the notion that people don’t have access to a retirement plan. And,
in fact, you don’t have to be an industry insider (though it helps) to
know that anyone who doesn’t have access to a retirement plan at work
can stroll down to your local bank or financial services outlet and open
an IRA – heck, these days you can just boot up your computer and do
that online. And yet people don’t. This isn’t really a surprise – but
even among modest income workers ($30,000-$50,000/year), we’ve seen that
workers are 12 times more likely to save via a workplace retirement
plan than to open that individual IRA.
Last week, we unveiled a state-by-state analysis that
highlighted the coverage gap – that more than 5 million employers in
the United States still don’t offer a workplace retirement savings
benefit, a generation after the 401(k) plan design was first introduced.
And what that means is that more than 28 million full-time workers
don’t have an opportunity to save for retirement in a 401(k) – and that
doesn’t include more than 23 million part-time workers who don’t have
that opportunity.
That is, of course, the coverage “gap” that the so-called state-run
automatic IRA programs are designed to close. And, though it’s still
relatively early in that particular vein, they do seem to be having a
positive effect. In Oregon (whose OregonSaves program has
just commemorated its second anniversary), they’re reporting more than
6,856 employers now participating – who ostensibly didn’t offer a plan
before – with some 95,704 employees – who, ostensibly, weren’t saving
for retirement previously. And if the opt-out rate is high
(approximately 30%) compared with the 7-9% rates typical of automatic
enrollment plans administered in the private sector, well it not only
lacks the support of an employer match (not to mention the support of
workplace education or an advisor), but it also has a (still) relatively
high 5% default contribution rate, though recent surveys suggest that
the default rate standard is rising in 401(k)s.
There are, of course, issues with the emergence of multiple, and
potentially contradictory, state-run versions – particularly for
employers who draw workers from multiple states. But in just this last
year, the program has begun offering traditional IRAs and has been
opened to the self-employed, gig economy workers and cannabis
businesses. The program is now more than halfway through its statewide
rollout, which will be completed by mid-2020, with more new “features
and improvements” in the works. Similar programs in Illinois and
California are underway, or nearly so – and Rep. Richie Neal (D-MA),
Chairman of the House Ways & Means Committee, has previously proposed a federal version.
Much of the coverage gap can be laid at the door of smaller
employers, which arguably have a different focus on such matters than
larger organizations. And, sure enough, a 2013 analysis by
the nonpartisan Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) found that
when you adjust for access to a plan – the percentage participating
divided by the percentage working for employers that sponsor a plan –
you find that participation rates between larger employers and smaller
ones largely disappear. For example, while data indicates that just
16.9% of those full-time, full-year employees who work at smaller
employers participate in a plan – that turns out to be about 86% of the
19.5% of workers in that category whose employer sponsors a plan. And
that is nearly identical to the participation rate of private-sector
employers with 1,000 or more employees.
A few years back I remember hearing a lottery motto, “Gotta be in it
to win it.” That’s a motto that those worried about retirement finances
should always take to heart.
But if they’re going to have (more than) half a chance, there’s
something to be said for improving the odds – by having a chance to
“play.”
- Nevin E. Adams, JD
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